January 3, 2026

Welcome Back,

Happy Saturday, everyone! ☀️
Good morning — hope today starts slow, calm, and exactly how you want it to.

Quick thought to kick things off: Have you ever wondered what’s really happening behind the scenes when a bank decides to say “yes” or “no”?
It’s not just about income — there’s a whole system quietly working in the background.

Today’s post pulls back the curtain and explains how banks actually make those decisions, so you can stop guessing and start positioning yourself smarter.

A little insight goes a long way — especially when it comes to money.

Ryan Rincon, Founder at The Wealth Wagon Inc.

Quote of The Day

“The best way to predict the future is to create it.”

Peter Drucker

Market Update

*Market data represents the most recent market close at 5:00pm ET

Market Update: Markets were mixed today, with a slight red tint on tech but solid strength across most other asset classes.

The Nasdaq hovered just below flat, dipping 0.03%, while both the S&P 500 (+0.19%) and the Dow Jones (+0.66%) moved higher, showing steady investor confidence outside the tech-heavy space.

Bitcoin jumped 1.36%, continuing its upward momentum, and precious metals followed suit—Silver rose 2.35%, and Gold edged up 0.021%, signaling a mild risk-off hedge.

On the equities front, Broadcom gained 0.44% as chip-sector optimism stayed alive. Meanwhile, Apple slipped 0.31% and Costco dropped 0.91%, marking the day’s notable pullbacks.

Overall, it was a “broad but gentle green” kind of day—modest gains across indices and commodities, with only a few large-caps dragging at the bottom.

World

Earthquake With 6.5 Magnitude Rattles Southern & Central Mexico
A strong quake shook wide portions of Mexico, sending residents into the streets and prompting early structural inspections. While early reports indicate only limited damage, authorities are continuing to survey affected regions. Emergency teams are preparing for aftershocks as seismic activity remains elevated.

Zelensky Names Kyrylo Budanov as Ukraine’s New Chief of Staff
Ukraine’s president reshuffled top leadership by appointing Budanov, signaling a push for more aggressive strategic coordination. The move comes during a period of intensified military pressure and shifting battlefield conditions. Officials say the new leadership aims to streamline decision-making in the months ahead.

Saudi Warplanes Target Southern Yemen Separatists in Renewed Strikes
Airstrikes resumed in southern Yemen as tensions escalated between Saudi-aligned forces and separatist factions. The renewed conflict risks undermining fragile diplomatic progress made in recent months. Regional observers warn the fighting could widen if political talks stall further.

Economy

GDP Grew 4.3% in Q3, Marking a ‘Healthier’ Expansion
New data shows stronger-than-expected growth driven by resilient consumer spending and business investment. Analysts say the momentum suggests underlying economic stability heading into the new year. Still, some caution that slowing global demand could test the durability of this expansion.

Europe’s Factory Activity Ends 2025 in Deeper Contraction
Manufacturing across Europe weakened further, reflecting persistent challenges in key industrial sectors. Despite the downturn, Asia posted improved demand, offering a slight lift to global trade flows. Economists expect the divergence between regions to continue into early 2026.

More Americans Turn to Financial Resolutions for 2026
Concerns about budgets, inflation, and long-term security are pushing more households to reconsider their financial habits. Many are focusing on debt reduction, emergency savings, and retirement planning. Advisors say the trend highlights growing public awareness of economic uncertainty heading into the new year.

Business/Corporate

Tesla Loses EV Crown to China’s BYD as Demand Softens
Shifts in pricing, tax credit changes, and intensifying competition allowed BYD to overtake Tesla in global EV sales. Industry analysts note that the landscape is evolving quickly as manufacturers race to adjust strategies. Tesla faces renewed pressure to innovate and recapture momentum.

S&P 500 Closes Higher on First Trading Day of 2026
Markets opened the year on a positive note, buoyed by strength in chip stocks and cautious optimism about inflation trends. Trading remained choppy as investors weighed new data against expectations for rate policy. Even so, early gains provided a modest confidence boost for the year ahead.

Saks Global Restructures as CEO Steps Down Amid Debt Struggles
Saks’ top executive is departing as the company confronts mounting challenges tied to its debt load. The leadership change comes at a critical time, with restructuring efforts underway to stabilize operations. Analysts say the retailer must refine strategy quickly to restore investor confidence.

Today’s Snapshot

How Banks Actually Decide Whether to Approve You for Loans, Credit Lines, and Financing

Most people think getting approved for financing comes down to one thing:
credit score.

That’s only partially true.

Banks, lenders, and financing institutions look at patterns, risk signals, and behavior far more than most people realize. Understanding how they think gives you a massive advantage — whether you want a mortgage, a business line of credit, an SBA loan, or future leverage for investments.

This article explains what banks really look at, in plain language, without fluff.

1. Banks Lend Based on Predictability, Not Potential

Banks do not care about:

  • your ambition

  • your upside

  • your ideas

  • your hustle

They care about predictability.

Predictability means:

  • consistent income

  • stable expenses

  • repeatable cash inflow

  • low volatility

Someone making $120k consistently for 5 years is often considered less risky than someone who made $300k last year and $60k the year before.

If your income jumps around, banks mentally discount it.

What this means for you:
Consistency matters more than spikes when applying for financing.

2. Debt-to-Income Ratio Is Quietly More Important Than Credit Score

Your credit score opens the door.
Your debt-to-income ratio decides whether you walk through it.

Banks look at:

  • how much you earn monthly

  • how much is already committed to debt

  • how much buffer you have left

If too much of your income is already spoken for, your score won’t save you.

This is why:

  • people with great credit still get denied

  • high earners sometimes struggle to get approved

  • business owners feel “penalized”

What matters:
How much free cash flow you have after obligations.

3. Stability of Accounts Matters More Than People Think

Banks quietly flag:

  • frequent account changes

  • constantly opening and closing accounts

  • moving money between institutions often

  • inconsistent balances

This looks chaotic to underwriting systems.

Long-standing relationships matter:

  • same checking account for years

  • same bank history

  • consistent inflows and outflows

Translation:
Financial stability is behavioral, not just numerical.

4. Business Owners Are Evaluated Completely Differently

If you own a business, banks separate you into two buckets:

  • you as a person

  • your business as an entity

They evaluate:

  • how long the business has existed

  • year-over-year revenue trends

  • net income, not gross revenue

  • how clean your books are

  • how you pay yourself

Businesses that:

  • mix personal and business finances

  • have messy bookkeeping

  • show high revenue but low net income

are considered high risk, even if they make good money.

Clean separation and clean records matter more than growth alone.

5. Liquidity Is a Major Approval Signal

Banks love liquidity.

Liquidity = cash or near-cash assets you can access quickly.

Examples:

  • savings accounts

  • money market funds

  • brokerage balances

  • retained earnings

Liquidity signals:

  • you can survive shocks

  • you won’t default immediately

  • you don’t rely entirely on debt

Someone with modest income but strong liquidity often gets approved faster than someone with high income and no reserves.

6. Recent Behavior Overrides Long-Term History

This is critical and rarely discussed.

Banks weigh recent financial behavior heavily.

Things that hurt you:

  • large unexplained withdrawals

  • sudden new debt

  • late payments in the last 6–12 months

  • maxed-out credit cards

  • sudden drops in balances

Things that help you:

  • paying balances down

  • stable spending

  • predictable deposits

  • unused available credit

If you’re planning to apply for financing, your last 6 months matter more than your last 6 years.

7. The Way You Use Credit Matters More Than Having It

Banks don’t like:

  • maxed-out cards

  • high utilization

  • revolving balances

They prefer:

  • low utilization

  • occasional use

  • regular payoff behavior

Someone who uses credit sparingly and predictably is seen as safer than someone who constantly relies on it, even if they always pay on time.

8. Why “Pre-Approval” Can Be Misleading

Pre-approval often means:

  • basic filters passed

  • credit score threshold met

It does not mean:

  • full underwriting approved

  • final terms guaranteed

  • conditions won’t change

Final approval depends on:

  • document review

  • income verification

  • bank statements

  • debt ratios

  • risk modeling

This is why deals fall apart late — the deeper review reveals something automated systems didn’t catch.

9. How to Position Yourself Before Applying (Without Gaming the System)

If financing is part of your future plans:

  • keep income predictable

  • avoid major financial changes 6 months before applying

  • reduce debt where possible

  • keep utilization low

  • maintain liquidity

  • keep accounts clean and stable

  • document income clearly

  • separate business and personal finances

This isn’t manipulation — it’s alignment.

Thought Of The Day

Real progress happens when you stop chasing motivation and start building systems, habits, and decisions that quietly work for you every single day.

That’s All For Today

I hope you enjoyed today’s issue of The Wealth Wagon. If you have any questions regarding today’s issue or future issues feel free to reply to this email and we will get back to you as soon as possible. Come back tomorrow for another market update, and snapshot. I hope to see you. 🤙

— Ryan Rincon, CEO and Founder at The Wealth Wagon Inc.

Disclaimer: This newsletter is for informational and educational purposes only and reflects the opinions of its editors and contributors. The content provided, including but not limited to real estate tips, stock market insights, business marketing strategies, and startup advice, is shared for general guidance and does not constitute financial, investment, real estate, legal, or business advice. We do not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any information provided. Past performance is not indicative of future results. All investment, real estate, and business decisions involve inherent risks, and readers are encouraged to perform their own due diligence and consult with qualified professionals before taking any action. This newsletter does not establish a fiduciary, advisory, or professional relationship between the publishers and readers.

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